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Ichiro Suzuki's bat has declined over the last two seasons, but he still plays a strong outfield and possesses speed on the basepaths.
MLB EXPERT MAILBAG
By Tony DeMarco
NBCSports.com contributor
updated 1:49 a.m. ET July 24, 2012
|
Baseball Expert Tony DeMarco has been covering the big leagues since 1987, and been casting Hall of Fame ballots for the last 14 years. He answers questions weekly here:
Q: Ichiro is a huge name, obviously, but has declined greatly in the last couple of seasons. What kind of impact do you think he can make with the Yankees?
? Harland Roberts, New York
A: Yes, Ichiro's downward-trending numbers are undeniable. His last outstanding season was 2010, when he batted .315 with a league-leading 214 hits. But even in that season, he fell off his career pace in runs scored, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS. Things have gone downhill in a hurry from there, as in 2011-12, Ichiro is a .268 hitter, his on-base percentage is right around .300 and his OPS is down to .644 ? about .100 points below his career mark.
But the Yankees were willing to gamble that Ichiro, 38, will be invigorated by the move from arguably the AL's worst team to arguably the best ? with another trip to the postseason pending ? and I agree that it's worth a shot.
A single in his first Yankee at-bat, and subsequent stolen base, showed there's still something left ? and it wouldn't shock me a bit if a recharged Ichiro hits close to .300, pulls a half-dozen homers into those ridiculously reachable right-field seats at Yankee Stadium, and plays regularly down the stretch in pinstripes. As for beyond this season, it's simply too early to tell.
But there is a far more-immediate need here, as the deal comes in the wake of Brett Gardner's loss due to a season-ending elbow injury, and Nick Swisher being temporarily sidelined by a hip injury. And don't underrate the four-game sweep suffered at the hands of the Oakland A's over the weekend as an impetus, either.
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While manager Joe Girardi has indicated Ichiro will play mostly in left field once Swisher returns, it also won't surprise me if Ichiro ends up playing a lot in his customary right field ? where he has won 10 Gold Gloves (the last in 2010), and has a far stronger and accurate arm than Swisher.
But wherever Ichiro plays, he makes the Yankees' outfield defense better. He also brings a speed element (16 of 18 steal attempts this season) that was lost with Gardner's injury.
Ichiro's addition will take at-bats from the current left-field platoon of Raul Ibanez and Andruw Jones, but that makes the bench deeper, and Girardi has rotated several players through the DH spot, anyway.
So there really is much potentially to gain, and little downside risk here, as the prospects sent to the Mariners are fringe types, unlikely to contribute much at the big-league level.
Q: The A's are playing great baseball of late, winning games against good competition. How are they getting it done, and can they keep it up?
? Jeff Stockton, San Diego
A: No team is hotter, as the A's have gone 14-2 in July and 8-1 since the All-Star break ? taking their record from 37-42 to 51-44 and putting themselves in wild-card contention.
They do it with pitching, of course, as their home park is one of the most pitcher-friendly in the game. They lead the AL in ERA and opponents' batting average, their bullpen ERA is the only one in the AL under 3.00, and their walk rate (1.65 per game) has been the majors' best in July.
And it's no coincidence that the second-half surge has paralleled Yoenis Cespedes' hot streak ? 18 for 36 with four homers and nine RBI in nine games after the break.
Bob Melvin's team also has a knack for walk-off wins, with a major-league-leading 11, and that can get contagious, leading to overachieving seasons such as the 2011 Diamondbacks were able to pull off. And while nobody's threatening Rickey Henderson's stolen base records, these A's do run ? currently third in the AL in steals.
With Brett Anderson and Brandon McCarthy likely to return soon to join young starters Jarrod Parker and Tommy Milone, you wouldn't expect too much falloff in the staff's performance.
But the problem remains an offense that is last in the league in runs and batting average, and second-to-last in on-base percentage and slugging percentage ? and you don't make the postseason with that lack of production.
So the A's are looking for help, particularly at third base ? Chase Headley, among others ? and likely will make a deal, without getting carried away. You have to keep in mind that winning a wild-card spot now guarantees you nothing more than a one-game playoff, and that's why you're not seeing teams in wild-card contention (but not division-title contention) deal away elite prospects.
The A's chances of winning a playoff spot are enhanced by the AL East teams beating up on each other, but even so, they're one of six teams most likely shooting for one wild-card spot ? maybe two ? so the odds aren't good.
But they're sure fun to watch right now.
Q: Early in the season, you noted the Braves looked like they were coming to an end of a long run as contenders. Things have changed since then, and they look like a reasonable bet for a wildcard, if not the division title. What are they doing now that wasn't happening earlier?
? David Pabon, Mission Hills, Calif.
A: I did pick the Braves to finish fourth in the NL East, but with 83 wins, so it's not as if I thought they were falling apart.
I had a handful of concerns about them bouncing back from their 2011 collapse, and some of those problem areas still exist. But the Braves sit eight games over .500 in second place, and in solid wild-card contention ? thanks in part to the bigger problems of the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies.
My Braves concerns were: A rotation somewhat in flux ? Tim Hudson, Tommy Hanson and Jair Jurrjens were coming off 2011 injuries. While the first two have been solid, the latter still is struggling.Meanwhile, were the younger starting pitchers ready to step up? The answer has turned out to be no, and in fact, the Braves reportedly could be adding Ryan Dempster to their rotation ? a nice pickup if it happens. And how about Ben Sheets' comeback? Nobody was expecting him to throw 12 shutout innings in his first two starts since 2010.
Shortstop was another concern, and they're trying Paul Janish after the unfortunate injury to Andrelton Simmons, who looks like he'll be one of the game's better defensive shortstops.
Could the heavily-worked threesome of Craig Kimbrel, Jonny Venters and Eric O'Flaherty do it for a second year in a row? Yes in two of three cases, but Venters has struggled and spent time on the DL. Fortunately, Kris Medlen has stepped up.
And finally, the health of Chipper Jones/lack of power in the lineup. While the Braves are middle-of-the-NL-pack in homers, they are fourth in runs scored, so they're scoring enough to be a playoff team. Still, there is at least speculation about a deal for Justin Upton (although if he is dealt, it's far more likely to come in the off-season, rather than in the next week).
It all adds up to the Braves being one of eight teams fighting for the five NL playoff spots ? the Nationals, Reds, Pirates, Cardinals, Giants, Dodgers and Diamondbacks being the others ? and capable of passing a Nationals team that will be shutting down their ace pitcher in September.
The next checkpoint is the July 31 trade deadline, which as we saw once again with the Cardinals last season, can dramatically change teams' fortunes.
? 2012 NBC Sports.com? Reprintsadvertisement
More news??MLB Expert Mailbag: Ichiro's bat isn't what it once was, but he can still play defense and run the bases, and playing for a contender could invigorate the once-great outfielder.
HBT: Ichiro wastes little time getting started for the New York Yankees on Monday, singling and stealing a base in his first game since being traded by the Mariners.
Source: http://nbcsports.msnbc.com/id/48296212/ns/sports-baseball/
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Source: http://news.yahoo.com/miami-kicks-safety-ray-ray-armstrong-off-team-152829086--spt.html
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The President and first lady show their affection at a basketball game! Check out more pics of Hollywood's tightest twosomes
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Thinking about a House Scrapbook Organization
Imagine taking your really like of scrapbooking to a whole new level by sharing it with other people. You can be invited by pals, new and old, to come into their houses and show them the way to make wonderful scrapbook pages filled with their photos and memories. Each beginner and experienced scrapbookers will adore this time of fellowship with their new scrapping friends. You won?t be a sales person to them, but their private scrapbook instructor, helping them preserve their family history for generations to come. If this sounds like what you?ve been seeking for, maintain reading!
Beginning a house scrapbook organization is a very important decision. Here are some simple points to contemplate. A dwelling based scrapbook business enterprise is definitely a single you run from your personal house. In a lot of instances, these kinds of firms are performed by direct sales or party program scrapbook consultants.
Being a scrapbook consultant comes with its personal challenges. Contemplate the following before jumping head very first into a household scrapbook consultant company:
1. Do you prefer to teach other individuals If you aren?t fantastic at showing other individuals tips on how to scrapbook, this enterprise are going to be a challenge.
2. Are you prepared to provide up weeknights along with your loved ones to construct a company Most party program scrapbook consultants host their shows on weeknights, with an occasional weekend crop or occasion. In case your family time is at a minimum, being pulled away to perform parties may perhaps strain your family members much more than you would like.
3. Are you currently really passionate about scrapbooking Your enjoy for scrapbooking will rub off on the clients you come in speak to with. When you don?t actually like the craft, it?ll make your job far more hard.
How you answer these 3 questions will guide you as to whether or not you?re a great candidate for starting a household scrapbook business enterprise.
Now, if you are prepared to move forward and start out a household scrapbook, there are a number of various companies to select from. So how are you able to tell which a single is very best for you
1. Do you like their products In case you don?t like the products the organization provides to sell, it will be tough or impossible to produce any dollars selling them as an enterprise.
two. Do they provide a competitive compensation and consultant discount strategy Each company?s strategy to compensation and discounts is going to be somewhat different, so writing every thing down to compare them as evenly as possible is a need to! Keep in mind that some organizations let you earn comissions on other people you recruit, even though other individuals pay a 1 time bonus. Feel about what you need out on the business. If you like top other individuals and wish to develop a team, appear for one particular that is certainly multi-level.
3. What are their consultant requirements Some businesses have extremely low requirements. I know of one that only requires 1 order per year! Other people, like some of the more established scrapbook organizations, require their scrapbook consultants to place several massive orders per year. And there are lots of corporations someplace in in between. Consider your monetary scenario and your drive to succeed and locate a firm that?s the very best fit.
These answers will help guide you to a company that could possibly be a fantastic one for you personally. Then, speak to many scrapbook consultants. Ask them to get a catalog, some consultant info and any item samples they may well have. Somebody who is significant about their enterprise need to be prepared to send you a smaller sample of your solutions.
Also, be sure to ask them what they like and dislike about their organization. Now, you might not get any unfavorable answers, nevertheless it can?t hurt to ask.
Some individuals go straight to the leading and contact the business they?re enthusiastic about and ask to acquire in touch with their prime consultants. Leading consultants didn?t get to where they are by accident. These individuals will most likely be the ideal people today to find out the business beneath and might be more willing to provide any instruction you might need to have.
As soon as you do your study, you should have the ability to narrow it down to 1 or two companies. Personally, I would go for the a single whose product you like most. Following all, it is actually all regarding the goods.
The top element about sharing your adore of this art type is that shoppers will basically pay you to do this! Think of how much satisfaction you may obtain by helping other individuals doing a thing you currently appreciate.
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Source: http://www.article-i.com/sports/college-sports/contemplating-a-household-scrapbook-enterprise/
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"Mistletoe," said Luna dreamily, pointing at a large clump of white berries placed almost over Harry's head. He jumped out from under it. "Good thinking," said Luna seriously. "It's often infested with nargles." ~~Luna Lovegood
Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/RolePlayGateway/~3/eBpzoEwgdZM/viewtopic.php
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Source: http://news.yahoo.com/checking-phone-during-yoga-more-little-arrogant-232151730.html
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Mohamed Abd El Ghany / Reuters
Supporters of Egypt's Mohamed Morsi cheer with a sign that reads "All of us with your right decision President Morsi" in Tahrir Square in Cairo on Monday.
By msnbc.com staff and news services
Updated at 1055 a.m. ET:?Egypt's highest court insisted Monday that its ruling that led to the dissolution of the Islamist-dominated parliament was final and binding, setting up a showdown with the country's newly elected president.
The court, which ruled on June 14 that the Islamist-led parliament had been elected based on unconstitutional rules, also said it would review appeals challenging the constitutionality of President Mohammed Morsi's decree.
"We will hear these cases tomorrow (Tuesday)," the court's head, Maher el-Beheiry, told Reuters.?
The announcement on state TV came a day after Morsi recalled the legislators, defying the powerful military's decision to dismiss parliament after the Supreme Constitutional Court ruled that a third of its members had been elected illegally.
However, both sides appeared together Monday at a military graduation ceremony. Morsi sat between the head of the armed forces Field Marshal Hussein Tantawi and Chief-of-Staff Sami Anan. The three sat grim faced for most of the ceremony, but Tantawi and Morsi exchanged a few words while seated on the reviewing stand.?
As Morsi takes symbolic oath, many fear the 'Islamization of Egyptian society
The court's judges made the decision in an emergency meeting even as the speaker of the dissolved legislature, Saad el-Katatni, called for parliament's lower chamber, the People's Assembly, to convene on Tuesday. The court's ruling did not cover parliament's upper chamber, known as the Shura Council, which is largely toothless.? ?
Both Morsi and el-Katatni are longtime members of the Muslim Brotherhood, which has long been at odds with the military and with other Islamists.
Mohammed Morsi officially became the president of Egypt on Saturday, as a new era of government takes shape. NBC's Kate Snow reports.
The military had been running Egypt since Hosni Mubarak was ousted last year. But, shortly before the handover to the elected president, the army put some curbs on the presidency and gave itself legislative powers.??
After a little more than a week in office, Morsi's move highlights the power struggle likely to define his term, pitting long repressed Islamists against generals used to calling the shots and an establishment full of Mubarak-era officials.
Fresh legal wrangle
Morsi's move also threatens a fresh legal wrangle over whether Morsi can overrule a decision by the Supreme Constitutional Court to dissolve parliament, creating more uncertainty at a time when the economy is creaking after 17 months of political turmoil.
"President Mohamed Morsi ordered the reconvening of the elected parliament to hold sessions," according to a presidential statement read out by Morsi's aide Yasser Ali.
As Morsi takes symbolic oath, many fear the 'Islamization of Egyptian society'
This was a significant move on the part of Morsi and the Brotherhood, according to Dr. Omar Ashour, a scholar at the Brookings Doha Center and director of the Middle East Politics Graduate Studies Program at the University of Exeter.
"This may end being a game of 'chicken' (to see) who withdraws his decision first," he said in a comment emailed to msnbc.com.
Analysts said they had not expected an easy relationship between the army and the Islamist president, but most believed Morsi would tread cautiously to avoid any swift escalation. The Brotherhood has repeatedly said it does not want confrontation.?
"This is an early conflict. Everyone was expecting this to happen but not now, unless this decision was taken in agreement with the army council, but I doubt this," political analyst Mohamed Khalil said.
Journalists Mona Eltahawy and Ethar El-Katatney provide updates on the developments in Egypt where newly elected president Mohammed Morsi has assumed power over the country.
Morsi's decree was announced shortly after he received his first official U.S. visitor in the presidential palace, Deputy Secretary of State William Burns, whose country gives $1.3 billion of aid to Egypt's military every year.
Burns praised Egypt's progress but said there was more to be done. "It will be critical to see a democratically elected parliament in place and an inclusive process to draft a new constitution that upholds universal rights," Burns said after meeting Morsi and before the decree was issued.
Early vote
After a call for a show of support by the Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party, with the biggest bloc in parliament, a few hundred people gathered in Cairo's Tahrir Square. "We love you Morsi," they chanted, along with "Down with military rule."
Morsi has resigned from both the Brotherhood and its party.
In his decree, Morsi called for an early parliamentary election for a new assembly within 60 days of the nation approving a new constitution, which has still to be drafted.
Post-revolution Egyptians to US: Stay out
That suggested a possible attempt at compromise by indicating the assembly, criticized by some for a poor initial performance and dissolved by court order just months after it was elected, would not serve a full four-year term.?
"The military wanted to dissolve parliament and the Brotherhood doesn't. There has to be somewhere they can meet in the middle or there will be an indefinite stand-off," said Shadi Hamid of the Brookings Doha Center.
"This could be a compromise arrangement for the short term, so the military gets part of what it wanted - a new parliament in coming months - and Islamists can avoid a situation where the military dominates a legislative authority," he said.
The Supreme Constitutional Court called an emergency session on Monday to review the Morsi's move, the court's deputy Maher Sami told the state news agency MENA, signaling there could be a prolonged legal wrangle.
Reuters and The Associated Press contributed to this report.?
More world news from msnbc.com and NBC News:
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Nothing conveys urgency and efficiency like being on your feet during a daily meeting.
Stanford Business School professor Bob Sutton observed this as he was co-writing the management book Hard Facts, along with Jeff Pfeffer. He and Pfeffer would often meet at Pfeffer?s home, in a room with only one chair. With no place to sit, he and Pfeffer took care of business quickly.
That led the team to look into a study that compared decisions made by 56 work teams who had stand-up meetings vs. 55 groups holding seated meetings. In all cases, the meetings were short?roughly 10 to 20 minutes. But in the stand-up meetings, groups took 34% less time making decisions, with no real difference in the quality of the decision.
In the real world, good bosses use stand-up meetings to speed things along. CEO David Darragh of Southern food and drink company holds 15-minute stand-up meetings in his office four days a week.
?Like many areas of discipline, repetition begets improved results,??Darragh says. ?The role of stand-up meetings is not to work on strategic issues or even to resolve an immediate issue.?The role is to bubble up the issues of the day and to identify the ones that need to be worked outside the meeting and agree on a steward to be responsible for it.?
If your all-hands meeting runs longer than 15 minutes or so, a stand-up format isn?t likely appropriate.
In Darragh?s case, the team has a 90-minute sit-down meeting once a week for delving into strategic issues.
? Adapted from ?The Virtues of Standing-Up: In Meetings and Elsewhere,? Bob Sutton, Work Matters.
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LONDON (Reuters) - As storm clouds gather over the global economy again at midyear, lower energy prices are one of the few flickering rays of light on the horizon - even if they too look increasingly ephemeral.
Economic activity and business and household confidence around the globe has tailed off badly again in the second quarter. The headwinds remain fierce, from imponderables related to the latest wave of the euro crisis and European banks' retrenchment to U.S. fiscal uncertainty and a spluttering of growth engines in the big emerging economies.
Friday's lukewarm U.S. employment report for June and nagging doubts about the efficacy of latest measures to insulate the ailing euro zone have darkened the skies yet again.
The International Monetary Fund last week flagged an imminent cut to its 3.5 percent 2012 global growth forecast, which is likely to at least reverse its modest 0.2 percentage point April upgrade.
And major central banks in the United States, the euro zone, China and Britain have all eased monetary policy again in recent weeks to ward off the growing chill - positive moves in and of themselves but also a sign of concern about the deteriorating outlook.
One of the few remaining positives over the second quarter ? or at least for the majority of countries that import oil ? has been an almost $30 per barrel plunge in benchmark crude prices in just three months.
As the global slowdown pulled the demand rug from under the energy markets, the traditional stabilizing effects of oil returned to the fray. So much so that year-on-year drop in oil prices is almost a whopping 20 percent.
"The drop in oil is clearly one of the few hopes, even though everything is contingent on it being sustained and there are so many risks to that. Even then, you have to wonder whether any benefits just get swamped by relentless deleveraging," said Neil MacKinnon, economist at Russian bank VTB Capital.
WHAT'S THE HOPE?
Apart from putting more money in the pockets of consumers and firms by lowering fuel bills, and eventually the cost of products with high energy inputs, the drop in oil prices should have a significant impact on consumer inflation rates that are already falling far below the danger rates seen last year.
For central banks keen to ease monetary and financial conditions still further to fill in the hole left by retrenching banks, this amounts to a green light for even further money printing and interest rate cuts.
Monday's news of a sharp drop in Chinese inflation to a 29-month low of 2.2 percent in June showed just why China's central bank felt it had the room to cut interest rates last week again for the second time in a month.
But the picture is global. Data from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development shows annual inflation in the 34-country OECD area slowed to 2.1 percent in the year to May 2012 from 2.5 percent in April and was the lowest rate since January 2011 - all heavily influenced by oil and food prices.
JP Morgan economists Joseph Lupton and David Hensley say their measure of global inflation for June is set to move below the aggregated 2.6 percent global central bank target - taken from 26 countries they monitor - for the first time since September 2010 after peaking at 3.9 percent nine months ago.
"If our top-down model is correct, global consumer price inflation could slide to just 2.1 percent by year-end, 0.5 percentage point lower than both our forecast and central bank targets," the economists said.
What's more, they added that the slippage is most skewed for the developed economies where consumer prices are more sensitive to moves in oil prices and could both accelerate monetary easing and boost consumer spending there in particular.
"In response to this sharp boost to purchasing power, global consumer spending should accelerate in the second half of 2012. Indeed, based on its historical relationship with oil prices, global consumer goods spending looks set to accelerate to one of the strongest gains in over a decade."
Other global economy optimists have also picked up on the potential windfalls from oil. Jim O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, is keen to point out that five-year forward prices of oil ? less prone to ebb and flow of short-term spot market moves ? have fallen below their 200-day moving averages.
"I'd rather trust the 5-year price than the spot price, and it is now below its own moving average. This has to be good news for anyone, other than those long crude oil," he told clients in series of slides last month.
What's more, the broader energy price picture in the United States has for months contained a huge potential fillip as gas prices have fallen sharply relative to the rest of the world due to an unlocking of vast gas reserves in underground shale deposits. If similar deposits were exploited elsewhere in the world, the impact could spread longer-term.
"With little other positive news to grasp onto in recent months, shale gas offers a welcome diversion from the torrent of Eurozone crisis headlines," said Rob Carnell, chief economist at ING Financial, adding the impact was "significant" for growth inflation and jobs if not as revolutionary as some suggest.
ENERGY TO THE RESCUE?
So, energy to the rescue? Well, maybe.
Long-term futures prices are certainly encouraging for policymakers trying to see through the fog. But the counterbalancing economic effects of spot prices go both ways and worries about oil supplies as much as demand come into play.
No sooner had last month's EU summit lifted world markets generally, correlated spot oil prices perked back up too.
Fresh nerves about the Iranian nuclear standoff and concern about oil workers' strikes in Norway pumped crude back briefly above $100 per barrel from lows below $90 last month.
And fears that new money printing from the developed-world central banks has for years now tended to "leak" into commodity markets and prices means the latest wave of monetary easing tends to at least underpin oil prices there too.
IMF economists poring over the question are quick to point out that the world economy has adapted relatively well to the four-fold increase in oil prices in a decade but acknowledge that supply disruptions and a pervasive market fear of long-term scarcity make price spikes higher a constant threat.
In a recent article on the impact of oil prices on world growth, IMF economist Jorg Decressin said growing consumption of oil revenues in oil-exporting countries that used to recycle windfalls back into western debt markets means this buffer for western economies may be weakened -- not least because western interest rates are rock bottom now anyway.
"In the current situation, where global interest rates are low, increased global savings are of little help and oil price spikes would be even more unwelcome. The recycling of oil revenues does not work as well as before," he wrote.
For now at least, lower energy prices may indeed be a lifeline for a nervous world economy but it's a lonely positive and far from a stable one.
(Reporting by Mike Dolan. Editing by Jeremy Gaunt.)
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